Sunday, February 13, 2011

Trade deadline

Yep, it's that time again. With the trade deadline just 15 days away, I figured why not do a quick rundown of what I think every team needs to do in terms of acquiring players (buyers) or draft picks/prospects (sellers). Rather than break up the teams by division, as i have done in the past, it's gonna be just a list. With the amount of teams on the verge of making or breaking in the next few weeks it seems like there may not be so many traditional sellers as there are buyers, but either way the trade deadline could be interesting, so hold on to your hockey hats.

Anaheim Ducks: 31-21-4 66 points, 6th in West. (buyers)

Anaheim are one of five teams in the west of have given up more goals than they have scored so far this year, and they are the only one of those teams in a playoff position. They have already addressed a portion of their defensive struggles by trading Joffrey Lupul, Jake Gardiner and a conditional 4th round pick for Francios Beauchemin. I expect the Ducks to make a move for a foward to help balance the lines and take some pressure off Perry-Ryan-Getzlaf

Atlanta Thrashers: 25-23-10 60 points, 9th in the East (buyers)

If the flames want to make their first Kovalchuk-less playoff appearance they will need to remedy their current-21 goal differential. They will need a stay at home defensemen and another solid forward to help boost the goals, but defense is far more important to this team. They have a solid goaltender, and some decent young players up front, but with a penalty kill currently at 76.4%, ahead of only Edmonton's 75%, they need to shore up their defense if they hope to make a push into the playoffs.

Boston Bruins: 31-18-7 69 points, 3rd in the East (buyers)

The Bruins are most certainly in the buying market. They are the best defensive team in the east with just 2.32 goals-against per game, which also ties them for nashville for 2nd overall in the league. There have been rumors of Boston persuing another defenseman, which is a possibility, but given the cap space from Marc Savard's injuries they can definitely afford another forward. They are also 5th in the league averaging 3.05 goals per game. While GM Peter Chiarelli has the cap space to make a bigger move, I expect him to make depth moves, and shore up his team for the long run. Honestly I could see them go for a seasoned backup, given Tuukka Rask's subpar season. Tim Thomas will obviously be the #1 down the stretch and into the playoffs, but if something should happen to him, will Rask be enough to get them to the promised land? Right now I sincerely doubt it.

Buffalo Sabres: 26-22-6 58 points, 10th in the East (buying and selling)

The Sabres are in an interesting position. having played the fewest games of anyone in the east, they have the best chance of gaining ground, given their current position in the standings. The next few games will be critical for them. While they can certainly sneak in in the 7/8 spot, I think this season will more than likely end up a wash for Buffalo. I'd look for them to start testing the waters to see what they can get for some rental guys on their list. Tyler Ennis and Tyler Myers are the young building blocks on this team, and it would be nice to see the Sabres gear up for the long haul rather than just make it in again only to be knocked out early and have a mid round 1st pick.

Calgary Flames: 28-22-8 66 points, 10th in the West (buying and selling)

A few weeks ago it looked like the Flames were in the running for a lottery pick, but after an impressive run including going 7-1-2 in their last 10, Calgary is currently one point out of 8th and 4 points out of 3rd. Look for interim GM jay Feaster to see who is buying and who is selling. Would Iginla agree to leave if it would help this team in the long term, or would they trade reliable, but coveted Robyn Regehr? They're currently -4 in goal differential, but part of that was based on their awful play earlier in the season. The Flames are another team like Buffalo who can be both. Will they attempt a run with what they have, or start breaking this team down for a true rebuild, which has been something this team has needed for awhile.

Carolina Hurricanes: 27-22-8 62 points, 8th in the East (buying and selling)

A team much like Calgary and Buffalo where the next week or so will decide their fate. The Hurricanes have some coveted players like Eric Cole or Joni Pitkanen who would be worth a decent price on the market if they choose to sell. With a relatively young Eric Staal, Cam Ward along with excellent rookie Jeff Skinner, the young core has the understanding of what it takes to win as well as talent for years to come. Their -7 goal differential is something to consider when either choosing to buy or sell as it will be hard to win when you consistently give up more than you can score.

Chicago Blackhawks: 28-22-6 62 points, 11th in the West (selling more than buying, but willing to spend if the price is right)

The Blackhawks are still in cap trouble, so they are limited by what they can do. Good news is, that they are still in it, albeit on the bubble, and the core of this team is still intact. I expect the Hawks to make little noise, but may make a trade in the depth department. Toews, Kane, Sharp, Hossa, Seabrook and Keith are still here and that's a damn fine group to build around. I expect them to make a bigger splash in the offseason after any type of cap increase is made and their own cap woes get cleared up. I expect Stan Bowmen to listen to any deals, but I don't expect him to dismantle and start from scratch. There's too many good places already in place.

Colorado Avalanche: 25-25-6, 14th in the West (sellers)

The Avalanche finally did what everyone expected them to last year and that is fall off the pace. Only Matt Duschene and John-Michael Liles have played in all 56 games for Colorado so far and a fair amount of their roster has missed chunks of 10 games or more. While I listed them as sellers mainly due to their position in the standings, it can be expected that the Avs will play it safe and not decimate this team at the deadline. This is still a decent team, but they were hammered by injuries this season. The signing of Forsberg was an interesting move as it brings in a veteran presence to the team who knows what it takes to win, but on another level this season is really nothing more than a tryout for Foppa. If he stays healthy look for him to re-sign in the offseason and a healthy, conditioned Peter Forsberg will add something to this team, even at 37-38 years old.

Columbus Blue Jackets: 28-23-5 61 points, 12th in the West (sellers)

I still maintain that the Blue Jackets will miss the playoffs. They play in one of the toughest divisions in the league, and in a conference where every point matters. However, they are on a 7-3-0 run in their last 10 games, so I suppose anything in possible. There are still too many questions for me regarding this team. Is Steve Mason the real deal or just a flash in the pan? will there ever be a dynamic #1 center to play alongside Rick Nash? The -16 goal differential shows that they still need help defensively as well. Something's gotta give for this team eventually.

Dallas Stars: 31-19-6 68 points, 3rd in the West (buyers...maybe)

Why did I say maybe? Because the ownership of this team is in question, so money is tight. They have approximately 6.7 million in cap space, but I can't realistically see it being spent while there are ownership issues. Until that get resolved I see them sticking to what they have mostly, unless they can do a few trades that don't require a huge chunk of change for them. Brad Richards's impending UFA status will also make this an interesting 15 days. There are a number of teams who would like to acquire the center, but will Dallas make the deal, or will they manage to sign him before July 1? It's the front office issues that will make or break this team come the deadline. GM Joe Nieuwendyk has a difficult job ahead of him in the meantime. Damn, I didn't mean to make that rhyme. oh well.

Detroit Redwings: 34-16-6 74 points, 2nd in the West (buyers...but cap strapped)

The Redwings are typically buyers looking to fine tune their team for the playoffs, and this year is no different, however cap issues prevent them from taking on anything significant in terms of salary without giving something up. The biggest "issue" facing them right now is goaltending. Jimmy Howard hasn't been living up to expectations and Osgood has been injured. Joey MacDonald will not get it done for this team, and he currently has the best numbers. The Redwings are an entirely different animal come playoff time so the wings fans out there shouldn't be too concerned. There is an excellent group of winning veterans who know what it takes to win. They should be fine.

Edmonton Oilers: 16-31-8 40 points, 15th in the West (sellers)

Edmonton is a lock for another top draft pick again this year, and are in the position to move any number of players if the price is right. Ales Hemsky and Dustin Penner have been rumored, but I wouldn't put it out of the realm of possibilty to see Khabibulin moved. at 3.75 million and a cup winner, he could become attractive to a team looking to shore up it's goaltending, while not wanting to give up the farm on a Voukun or Giguere, who both come with a higher cap hit. There is an impressive crop of young talent on this team so the Oilers might to look to acquire some younger veterans (late 20's-early 30's) who still have some productivity left in them, but not washed up guys just looking to keep the checks coming in to help mentor the young talent. Still look for them to sell of marketable players, without mortgaging the future, and compiling draft picks.

Florida Panthers: 24-24-7 55 points, 11th in the East (sellers, but buyers too)

Look for Dale Tallon to sell what he can to continue to stockpile draft picks and young players, just like he did in Chicago. the Voukun rumor is too good not to write about, but there is the intent to re-sign him (or so they say). Tomas could get them an excellent return, providing they're willing to take back some salary. While the Pathers have so far played better than their record, proving to be a tough win for opponents most nights, they still need help at almost every position so I'm sure if the right deal comes along, Tallon will make it. They have the cap space to take a bit of a dump if they do decide to move Voukun before he becomes a UFA. They also have seven other pending UFA's to be on this team, so they could look to rebuild come the offseason. Should be fun to watch what they decide to do.

Los Angeles Kings: 31-22-3 65 points, 9th in the West (buyers!)

If there is any team that NEEDS to buy in the coming weeks it is the Los Angeles Kings. After an impressive performance by Jonathan Quick this afternoon against the Flyers, posting a 40 save shutout, it shows how dangerous this team can be, but also shows that they need help up front. While this has certainly been no surprise to anyone who has followed them at all this season, it's even more imperative now. They need to string wins together and they need to do it ASAP in the tight Western Conference. They have some cap space to play with, and have some assets they can move in a player for player deal if need be. Dean Lombardi has been playing it safe so far this season, but now is the chance to be bold. Make the move to get this team into the playoffs and past the first round. Quick is one of the best goalies in the league, and arguably a Vezina finalist. Give him the help in front he needs.

Minnesota Wild: 30-20-5 65 points, 8th in the West (buyers)

Minnesota are tied with LA with 65 points, but have a game in hand so are technically ahead of them. They are up against the cap with a little over a million in cap space to play with, but could do a player for player deal if it helps them. Their special teams are both putting up respectable numbers, 19.9% on the power play which is 8th in the league and a PK of 83.4% which is 11th. The Wild's biggest problem is their scoring .96 goals a game at even strength. While your special teams have to be effective in the post season, you also need to score at even strength. That is their biggest weakness. With the solid goaltending they've been getting from both Backstrom and Theodore, I would expect the wild to go after someone who can help them produce offensively...at least if they want to make the playoffs.

Montreal Canadiens: 31-20-6 68 points, 6th in the East (buyers, but also cap strapped)

The Canadiens need help on their injury ridden blue line, but will need to shed salary to do so. Being a point back of rivals and division leading Boston makes any moves they make a must win for them. Carey Price must continue to perform, and they will need to shore up their defense down the stretch. They can't afford to give up 8 goals against anymore. They also need to beat teams they should be. Getting shut out by the Islanders should be a wake up call that something needs to happen to this team.

Nashville Predators: 30-19-7 67 points, 4th in the West (buyers)

The Predators are quietly one of the most consistent teams in the west. They don't dominate teams the way Detroit or Vancouver does, but they manage to win as a group without any real superstars, with the exception of Shea Weber. They have one of the better goalies in the league in Pekka Rinne and Anders Lindback has proven to be a capable backup. They have one of the best coaches in the league, who in my opinion needs to win a Jack Adams already, who manages to get results from teams most coaches wouldn't want. What Nashville needs to get over the hump is more consistent scoring. Their leading scorer is defenseman Shea Weber with 35 points. They need offensive talent to come to Smashville to make the more competitive and give their defense/goalies some room to breathe. While they never spend to the cap, they do have over 8 million in cap space and can afford to take on a larger contract than their used to to help them go further in the playoffs.

New Jersey Devils: 22-30-4 48 points, 13th in the East (sellers, if they can be taken and buyers)

The Devils under John MacLean were the worst team in the league, and their record now shows it. MacLean showed he wasn't ready for coaching in the NHL, and the team suffered for it. Enter coach Lemaire for his 3rd tour of duty and the team has turned itself around and climbed out of the basement. This is both good and bad. It's good because the roster was way too good to be in last, but they've ruined their chances to get a lottery pick and another young prospect to play in the organization. Cap trouble had crippled this team early on, and the move Jamie Langenbrunner did something to relieve it. Look for other veterans like Arnott to get moved if they agree to waive their NTC's. if they don't, their salaries come off the books at the end of the season and the devils can focus on re-signing Parise to a long term deal.

New York Islanders: 20-29-7 47 points, 14th in the east (sellers, but what's left)

Once again the Islanders are in the basement, and that's to be expected when you sell everything that isn't bolted down. Really the islanders/bridgeport sound tigers have little left in terms of trade value that they don't want to use to rebuild. I still like Garth Snow as a GM, but I understand that he is restricted by ownership. The Islanders were also crippled by injuries again this year. Mark Streit has yet to play a game, Doug Weight has only played in 18 game before being injured and Kyle Okposo only recently returned from injury sustained in preseason...and that's just the "marquee" players on this team. I'd expect Niederreiter to make the squad next year, and maybe their lottery pick from this upcoming entry draft as well. Once again DiPietro looks to be the x-factor as to whether or not he can actually stay healthy, but at this point it's almost a given that the Islanders should carry three goaltenders, just in case.

New York Rangers: 30-24-4 64 points, 7th in the East (buyers)

The Rangers got a much needed win this afternoon over division rivals the Pittsburgh Penguins. The Rangers also got what they were looking for in a strong PK and a resilient come from being victory. The Rangers will need to produce consistently and get strong goaltending from Henrik Lundqvist. There is a little cap space for them to play with, and Glen Sather knows how to spend...just not always wisely. A smart move can keep the Rangers in the playoffs, although given their position I don't see them making it out of the first round, but it's the playoffs so who knows how the blueshirts will respond.

Ottawa Senators: 18-30-8 44 points, 15th in the East (sellers)

The Senators need to have a fire sale. While not to deliberately belittle other teams in the East, when you are behind the Islanders and Maple Leafs you have some issues. Their goaltending is questionable at best, as Pascale Leclaire is injured just slightly less than DiPietro. Their defense has been horrid, and they're getting no sustainable scoring, with a -60 goal differential and the fewest goals for in the league at 126. The Sens really just need to start from scratch. Get market value for Spezza, and let Alfredsson go to a winner. Bryan Murray will, presumably, be fired at the season's end as will Cory Clouston. It really is a chance for Ottawa to start fresh, which is something they need to do.

Philadelphia Flyers: 36-14-5 77 points, 1st in the East (buyers)

The Flyers have been atop the East for the vast majority of the season. With one of the deepest teams in the league both offensively and defensively, the playoffs are a given, and after last season, on the Stanley Cup will be considered a success for this group. While the team are technically buyers, I can't see this team making any drastic moves. They have 8 players with 12 or more goals (the most in the league) and best 6 d-men playing right now. The biggest question is, surprise suprise, goaltending. Will the tandem of Brian Boucher and Sergei Bobrovsky be enough to get them the 2 wins they were shy of last year? There have been speculations of the Flyers going after Giguere or possibly Voukun, which would certainly up their odds come playoff time (assuming if they giggy, he stays healthy), but what will they have to give up? they can take a max of 3 million in cap space thanks to LaPerriere being on LTIR, but will still need to move someone to take on Giguere or Voukun. Versteeg has also been rumored, but again will the Flyers be willing to part with what the leafs will ask for? I would expect Paul Holmgren to play it safe and make a solid depth move. Might that mean saying goodbye to fan favorite Dan "Carbomb" Carcillo? Possibly, but we'll see in the next 15 days.

Phoenix Coyotes: 29-19-9 67 points, 5th in the West (buyers....if they can get ownership sorted out)

The Coyotes are looking like they'll make back to back playoff appearances for the first time since...ever? Keith Yandle is having a phenominal season leading the team, and all NHL defenseman, in scoring with 46 points. with 9 milion dollars in immediate cap space the 'Yotes can afford to take on some hefty salaries if it will help them, but with their ownership situation in flux, they are operating on a budget so it will be tough to bring in more players. Once again it will be up to Bryzgalov to carry this team into the playoffs and possibly out of the first round. The idea of Bryzgalov vs Rinne in the first round (if the playoffs started tomorrow) is an exciting match up. Phoenix can use some help both up front and on defense, but given their position right now, if it ain't broke, don't fix it right?

Pittsburgh Penguins: 35-19-4 74 points, 4th in the East (buyers)

While the Pens are 4th in the East, they are fading fast, as their lack of depth at forward has become evident these past few weeks and more specifically the past few games. Losing 9-3 in the hockey game that broke out at the UFC match on Long Island, and then blowing a 2 goal lead to lose 5-3 against the Rangers this afternoon, this is a team the desperately misses both Crosby and Malkin. Crosby hasn't played in roughly 15 games and still has a commanding points lead over their second leading scorer, Kris Letang. With Malkin lost for the season, they can use his LTIR cap space to make a move for a rental player or two to help up front until Crosby comes back...if he returns this season as his recovery has been slow. It was no secret that the Pens were weak on the wings, but with Crosby and Malkin as your one and two centers it didn't really matter. As long as they had someone who could skate with them and chip in when possible it was enough. Now it clearly isn't. The pressing issue for the Pens is do they persue a winger to play alongside Staal and then Crosby should he return, or do they go after another center to replace Malkin (if that is really possible) and continue as they have. I do not envy GM Ray Shero right now at all. Marc-Andre Fleury has recovered from an early season slump, but can he can he carry this team while their two biggest stars are on the shelf for who knows how long? A lot of questions coming out of "city of champions."

San Jose Sharks: 30-21-6 66 points, 7th in the West (swappers, since they're so strapped)

The Sharks have quietly climbed out of the basement from earlier this season and are now in the playoffs. Antii Niemi has started to play like they've hoped recently posting back to back shutouts. While Danny Heatly is on pace for his worst season in terms of points he still leads the team with points, but rookie Logan Couture leads the team with 24 points. Once again Joe Thorton is dishing assists like nobody's business, but will this line up be enough to get them over the hump? While the sharks have been the model for regular season success and post season failure, can their stuggles this season make them a better playoff team? They will need to make some moves to secure their blue line, and possibly move out Devin Setoguchi to do so. While the Sharks should be active, it might be more little deals like the Ben Eager trade, rather than a huge move one might expect. With their cap situation that's the reality for the sharks. Go with what you've got and tinker where you can.

St. Louis Blues: 24-21-9 57 points, 13th in the West (buyers)

Yes I did say that the St. Louis Blues are buyers. This is a team better than their record, but were simply crippled by injuries. Adding insult to injury, when trying to address their injuries and line up problems, they had two players claimed off waivers, leaving them high and dry. The Blues have a decent crop of young talent and one of the best goaltenders in the league with Jaroslav Halak. It's difficult to actually gauge how good or bad the Blues really are since the team they assembled to start the season isn't really the same team they have now. They have a lot of cap space and should teams be looking to move, the Blues can take them. But I don't expect the Blues to become a salary dumping ground. Look for them to be smart with their moves coming up and then make a move in the offseason.

Tampa Bay Lightning: 34-17-5 72 points, 2nd in the East (buyers)

Offense is not the problem for the Tampa Bay Lightning. They have the 3rd highest goals for in the East behind Philadelphia and Pittsburgh, but they give up just as many as they score (172 if you were wondering). While Steve Yzerman has been operating this team with a budget, they do have the cap space needed to acquire a solid defenseman who may have a higher cap hit than they'd like to spend. The addition of Dwayne Roloson has been great for them as he has posted 2 shutouts since coming over from the Islanders. The combination of Stamkos and St. Louis has been phenominal, as the two have combined for 140 points. The Lightning need defense in front of Roloson (and more specifically Ellis) to get this team back to the cup. While they're certainly capable of out scoring a team, like the Capitals of last year, my concern is that if they run into a team who ends up playing tight defense and making the most of their opportunites, will they have the defense to shut them down? Right now I'd have to say no.

Toronto Maple Leafs: 23-27-6 52 points, 12th in the East (sellers, but looking to buy as well)

In typical Brian Burke fashion, he wants to buck the trend of being a full on seller, and look to make player-for-player deals. However given the talent pool that the Maple Leafs have, I can't see many people looking to make those kind of deals. While the Beauchemin trade was good for the club as they needed scoring and Lupul comes to the team as capable top 6 guy (although in my opinion he's definitely a 2nd line winger at best), the team still has no number one center to play with Kessel and needs to address their overpaid and underperforming defense. Kaberle remains the big piece to move if possible. Burke has stated repeatedly that he won't ask Tomas to waive his NTC, and Kaberle doesn't seem interested in waiving. However at this point I would ask him where he would go and see what can be done. All signs are pointing to Kaberle running out the door July 1 and leaving the leafs high and dry, so why not attempt to get something for him in the meantime. Although on a personal note, I'd just like to see it done one way or another, because we've all been hearing about Kaberle all season and the record is old. The Leafs also have a bit of a goalie controversy. Will they move Giguere before the deadline and go with Reimer and Gustavsson? Is "the monster" even in Toronto's plans moving forward? He has had a few health scares with his heart, and so far as played far below expectations. That's a question for the off season I think. Gustavsson has shown flashes of what people have expected since he's come over to the NHL, but will he ever be able to play like that at a consistent level? That's the million dollar question...well that and who would take any leaf offered up in trade.

Vancouver Canucks: 36-11-9 81 points, 1st in the West (want to buy, but we don't take plastic)

The Canucks have so far steamrolled the competition so far. The Sedins are out to prove that last year wasn't a fluke for Henrik and that Daniel is just as good. Daniel is currently on pace for 106 points and 46 goals, both of which would be new career highs. Both Luongo and Corey Schneider (when called upon) have both posted respectable numbers of save percentages over .920 and goals-against averages under 2.40. The Canucks main concern at this point has to be their defense, as there has been a rash of injuries on their blue line, the latest being the concussion to Dan Hamhuis. The Canucks are built to win now, and will they be able to turn it up come playoff time and finally make it past the 2nd round? Time will tell. Vancouver will definitely have to shed salary first in order to make any kind of deal of note, but anything is possible as the deadline nears.

Washington Capitals: 29-17-10 68 points, 5th in the East (buyers...but probably won't)

The Capitals of 10-11 are a far different animal than that of even last year. The Capitals were an offensive juggernaut, daring teams to even try to keep up as they posted over 300 goals for. This year has seen the team struggle offensively and go on a losing streak the likes they haven't seen in washington in years. Everyone has said that their defense has needed work, and it has actually improved, but at a cost to the offense. Ovechkin, usually a lock for a Richard trophy finalist, is on pace for only 30 goals this season, by far his worst in the national hockey league. However he's still at almost a point per game pace, it's just not what everyone has come to expect from the "Great 8." While I believe the adversity they faced earlier this season has been somewhat of a blessing as they have never really handled anything like that before. They've been so used to winning they didn't know how to respond to losing. Now they do. The question still remains whether or not these young goaltenders will be enough to get them to the cup. Both Varlamov and Neuvirth have played well, but both have been injured at times, notably Varlamov. If he can stay healthy, his play will be critical if the caps go into another scoring drought.


Ok....I'm done.

No comments:

Post a Comment